Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.000123 0.000130 0.000139 0.000148 0.000159 0.000170 0.000184
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.000110 0.000121 0.000133 0.000147 0.000165 0.000185 0.000211
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.000102 0.000115 0.000129 0.000148 0.000171 0.000200 0.000240
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.000097 0.000111 0.000128 0.000151 0.000180 0.000219 0.000276
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.000091 0.000105 0.000123 0.000147 0.000180 0.000225 0.000295
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.000084 0.000098 0.000117 0.000141 0.000176 0.000225 0.000305
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.000079 0.000093 0.000112 0.000137 0.000173 0.000227 0.000317
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.000074 0.000088 0.000105 0.000130 0.000167 0.000221 0.000315
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000072 0.000086 0.000104 0.000131 0.000171 0.000232 0.000346
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000071 0.000085 0.000105 0.000134 0.000178 0.000249 0.000389
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000070 0.000085 0.000105 0.000136 0.000185 0.000266 0.000436
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000070 0.000086 0.000108 0.000143 0.000199 0.000298 0.000525
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000067 0.000084 0.000106 0.000142 0.000201 0.000309 0.000574
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000065 0.000081 0.000103 0.000140 0.000201 0.000318 0.000622
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000063 0.000079 0.000102 0.000140 0.000206 0.000335 0.000703
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000062 0.000079 0.000103 0.000142 0.000214 0.000364 0.000839
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.000060 0.000076 0.000100 0.000139 0.000212 0.000367 0.000887
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.000057 0.000073 0.000095 0.000134 0.000205 0.000358 0.000889
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.000055 0.000070 0.000092 0.000130 0.000200 0.000355 0.000912
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.000052 0.000067 0.000088 0.000124 0.000191 0.000338 0.000872
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.000051 0.000066 0.000087 0.000124 0.000195 0.000358 0.001004
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.000051 0.000066 0.000088 0.000127 0.000203 0.000388 0.001229
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 0.000050 0.000066 0.000088 0.000129 0.000211 0.000419 0.001514